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Mostly agreed, with the caveats that (a) we don't yet understand how to combine LLMs with those other mechanisms in a way that will work, and (b) even when we make some progress on that question, I think it's still going to be incremental; I would not yet use words like "likely ... close to human cognitive capabilities".

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Yes, I'm speculating here (and will probably regret it quite soon). If past experience is a guide, we will discover yet more pieces that are needed.

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