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Who knows what they truly believe? It doesn't really matter because they are free to hold whatever opinions they want. It is usual for CEOs and CTOs to hype their products. It is on us to decide whether what they say is useful, with the help of experts like Gary Marcus of course.

Until the algorithms change radically from the LLM technology they are all using now, I would dismiss all comments about "intelligence emerging". Whatever intelligence they output is derived from the human intelligence embodied in their training data, which is pretty much the entire internet. They are improving their products by scaling (ie, more training data) and little tweaks to try to control their output (eg, adhere to social norms, filter in favor of truth). As far as I can tell, they have no plan to reach AGI other than a general desire to do so.

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You are right, of course. However, I could care less whether its fraud or people choosing to believe whatever they want.

If people who have all the money in the world and every opportunity to listen to criticism want to lie to themselves, and it causes a lot of harm in the process, then its just a clever way of gaming the system. Fraud at least allows them to be put in jail more easily.

I'd prefer to just follow my moral intuitions here than accept some arbitrary law.

Aside from that, LLMs/AI is a much bigger industry than Theranos, which was small potatoes compared to this really.

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