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Aaron Turner's avatar

It doesn't matter what the actual evidence is. Sam Altman (and OpenAI) have painted themselves into a corner. They've chosen the LLM route; they're committed to it. They've been telling their investors for years that they're on the path to AGI; there's no way out for them now, no way back, no possible way that they can now say "ah, well, actually, it turns out we were wrong". And so, whatever the evidence is, whatever the performance of their next N models, they're going to spin it into something optimistic, something positive, something that says "stick with us, we're getting there, every year will be even more amazing than the last" etc. They have no other realistic choice.

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Claude Coulombe's avatar

Altman could have rather said, « AGI is essentially a solved problem since we can solve benchmark problem one by one, with a few months in between each. »

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