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Ok, very well said, but AI is well suited to the large subset of probability judgments needed in business, marketing, consumer interfacing, etc., where the benefit of being right most of the time is huge and the cost of being occasionally wrong is not too big.

I am a healthy skeptic of the future of AI in dangerous work like performing a surgery or driving a car because of the cost of being wrong. But there are enough of the non-dangerous domains that we haven’t even gotten close to the end yet. More and more human activities will be re-framed as machine “prediction” problems.

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