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Apr 1
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That's handwaving. We don't have to look any further than "autonomous driving" to see how the talk of "perfection" doesn't apply. Heck, Gary talked about this in his last article https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/the-second-worst-100b-investment $100B of "better" and it's still in the water.

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Apr 1
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Are you using a chatbot to respond? You're just giving vague, hand-waving statements. No- The project is in one big hot mess. https://spectrum.ieee.org/self-driving-cars-2662494269

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Apr 1
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It IS hand-waving. "Very good" IS hand-waving. You're not being specific on anything. Gary WAS being specific in his last article: "Waymo runs in a few extremely well-mapped cities with mostly very good weather, but to my knowledge itтАЩs never been tested in places with bad weather, poorly mapped roads, alternative driving patterns, etc. The generality of WaymoтАЩs approach is very much still in question"

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Apr 1Edited
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You didn't mention any situation involved with Cruise, because those are real world situations that Waymo couldn't come close to handling either. They know it'd just do just as bad as Cruise did. I don't see even remotely similar situations in the simulation examples either. Those situations are gross simplifications, as the Cruise pedestrian-dragging scenario showed.

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Apr 2
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Uh, 10+ years of development isnтАЩt тАЬrushingтАЭ but тАЬa gross underestimation of the issueтАЭ. The Apollo program was done developing in that same time. HereтАЩs what will happen: all the rest of them will either fold as so many AD companies already did or forced to abandon full AD as Tesla has practically had to do. ItтАЩs high time to face reality.

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Apr 2
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